AI Analysis

Generated: 1 week ago. (Likely Outdated!)

Vistra Corp. (VST) operates as a major player in the energy sector, essentially acting as both a power producer and a electricity and natural gas seller to everyday customers. Think of them as a company that owns and runs various types of power plants, like those using natural gas, nuclear energy, solar panels, and big batteries for storage. They then take that power and sell it directly to homes and businesses across 18 states and Washington D.C.. They are a big deal in the U.S., being the largest company that both generates power competitively and sells electricity to residential customers.

Beyond just selling power to individual customers, Vistra also secures long-term agreements to supply electricity to large companies. For example, they have signed 20-year deals to provide nuclear power to tech giants like Meta and Amazon Web Services, with these deliveries starting in the coming years. This dual approach of generating power and selling it directly to a wide range of customers, including through long-term contracts, forms the core of their business.

The Business Model (How They Make Money)

Vistra's core business is built on two main pillars: generating electricity and selling it.

  1. Power Generation: They own and operate a diverse fleet of power plants that use different fuel sources, including natural gas, nuclear, solar, and battery storage. They generate electricity from these facilities and sell it into wholesale markets or use it to supply their retail customers.
  2. Retail Electricity and Natural Gas Sales: Vistra serves approximately 5 million retail customers, providing them with electricity and natural gas. This segment is a significant revenue driver. In fiscal year 2025, their Retail segment brought in $14.34 billion in revenue.

Their main revenue stream comes from selling the electricity and natural gas they generate or procure. For the full fiscal year 2025, Vistra reported total operating revenues of $17.7 billion. They also strategically grow their generation capacity through acquisitions, such as the Lotus Acquisition in 2025, which added 2,600 megawatts of capacity, and the planned acquisition of Cogentrix Energy, which will add another 5,500 megawatts of natural gas generation capacity, expected to close in mid-to-late 2026.

The Metrics That Matter Most

For a company like Vistra, which generates and sells power, these metrics give us the clearest picture of its financial health:

  1. Revenue: This number tells you the total amount of money Vistra brings in from all its sales of electricity and natural gas. For Vistra, it's crucial because it shows the overall scale of their operations, both from their power plants and their retail customer base. A growing revenue suggests they are selling more power or at better prices, which is a good sign for a company in the energy business. In fiscal year 2025, Vistra's operating revenues increased by 3% to $17.7 billion.
  2. Net Income: This is the company's profit after all expenses, including taxes and interest on debt, have been paid. It's the ultimate bottom-line measure of how much money the company actually made for its owners. For Vistra, net income can be influenced by things like the cost of fuel, weather patterns affecting demand, and even how well they manage their financial hedges against price swings. For the full year 2025, Vistra reported a net income of $944 million.
  3. Operating Cash Flow: This metric shows how much cash the company generates from its everyday business activities, like selling electricity and paying for fuel and operations, before considering big investments or financing activities. For an energy company that needs to constantly maintain and upgrade its power plants, having strong operating cash flow is like having a healthy checking account to fund its ongoing needs and future growth without always borrowing money. Vistra's cash flow from operations was $4.070 billion for the full year 2025.
  4. CapEx (Capital Expenditures): This represents the money Vistra spends on buying, maintaining, or improving its physical assets, like building new power plants, upgrading existing ones, or investing in new technologies like battery storage. Since Vistra is in a capital-intensive industry, CapEx is a vital metric to understand how much they are investing back into their business to keep it running efficiently and to grow their generation capacity. While a specific CapEx number for 2025/2026 wasn't explicitly broken out in the snippets, the company's strategic acquisitions, like Lotus for $1.9 billion and the planned Cogentrix acquisition for $2.3 billion, highlight significant capital allocation.
  5. Debt to Equity: This ratio compares how much money Vistra has borrowed (debt) to the money invested by its owners (equity). For a company like Vistra, which often takes on debt to fund large projects and acquisitions, this ratio is crucial. It tells you how reliant the company is on borrowed money and helps assess its financial risk. A higher ratio might mean more risk, while a lower one suggests a more stable financial footing.

How to Value This Company

The ONE most relevant valuation metric for Vistra Corp. is EV/EBITDA.

Here's why:

EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) is like a special price tag for the entire company, including its debt, compared to its core operating earnings.

  • Why it's good for Vistra: Energy companies like Vistra own a lot of expensive equipment (power plants, transmission lines) that wear out over time. The cost of this wear and tear, called "depreciation," can make their reported "Net Income" look smaller than the actual cash their operations are generating. EBITDA helps us look past these non-cash accounting items and focus on the raw cash-generating power of their core business.
  • Why Enterprise Value matters: Vistra, like many utility and power generation companies, carries a significant amount of debt to finance its large infrastructure projects. Enterprise Value (EV) includes both the market value of the company's stock and its net debt. This gives a more complete picture of the company's total value, which is important when comparing it to other similar companies that might have different levels of debt.
  • How to use it: When you see Vistra's EV/EBITDA, you're essentially seeing how many "years of operating earnings" it would take to buy the entire company (both its stock and pay off its debt). If Vistra's EV/EBITDA is lower than similar energy companies, it might suggest the stock is "cheap." If it's higher, it might be considered "expensive." It helps investors compare Vistra's value based on its core operational strength, without being skewed by different accounting choices for depreciation or how they choose to finance their business (debt vs. equity). For the full year 2025, Vistra's Adjusted EBITDA was $5.8 billion.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI. stockpicker.tech is not responsible for any mistakes, inaccuracies, or hallucinations. This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Users should always double-check the information and conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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Vistra Corp.

$152.02 -$13.21 (-7.99%)
NYSE · 16 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC
Previous Close
$154.17
Day Range
$151.15$155.19
Year Range
$132.66$205.5
Market Cap
51.02B
AVG Volume
5.1M
Trailing/Forward PE
25.34/14.84
PEG ratio
0.31
Dividend Yield
0.60%
Next Earnings Date
2026-11-06
Primary Exchange
New York Stock ExchangeUS
Revenue (USD) · TTM
010B20B30B24 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
VST Revenue (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodRevenue (USD)
26 Q215.98B
26 Q116.21B
25 Q416.73B
25 Q321.75B
25 Q222.32B
25 Q121.75B
24 Q419.38B
24 Q315.41B
24 Q215.08B
24 Q114.58B
Net Income (USD) · TTM
01B2B3B24 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
VST Net Income (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodNet Income (USD)
26 Q22.22B
26 Q12.24B
25 Q4944M
25 Q31.15B
25 Q22.39B
25 Q12.43B
24 Q42.66B
24 Q32.03B
24 Q2648M
24 Q1759M
Operating Income (USD) · TTM
02B4B6B8B24 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
VST Operating Income (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodOperating Income (USD)
26 Q2374M
26 Q1336M
25 Q4976M
25 Q36.54B
25 Q27.48B
25 Q17.58B
24 Q46.23B
24 Q32.95B
24 Q22.89B
24 Q12.92B
EBITDA · TTM
Cash Flows · TTM
EPS · TTM
Expenses · TTM
Cash & Debt · TTM
Debt ratios · TTM
Margins · TTM
Return on Capital · TTM
Shares Outstanding · TTM
Dividends (USD) · TTM
Employee Count
Book Value Per Share · TTM
Total Assets · TTM
PE Ratio
Free Cash Flow Yield
Price to Sales
EV/EBITDA
Price/Operating Cashflow
Price to Book
Vistra Corp.
VST
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