AI Analysis

Generated: 14 weeks ago. (Likely Outdated!)

BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) is a space-based intelligence company that provides real-time imagery, data analytics, and monitoring services to government and commercial clients worldwide. The company operates its own constellation of low Earth orbit satellites and leverages its proprietary Spectra AI software platform to process data and deliver critical insights.

BlackSky's business model focuses on delivering "space-based intelligence & AI services," "mission solutions," and "technology programs." A significant part of their strategy involves securing multi-year subscription contracts, particularly with international defense customers, and expanding these relationships over time. The company is actively deploying its advanced Gen-3 satellites to enhance its capabilities, offering very-high-resolution imagery and AI-driven analytics.

The Business Model (How They Make Money)

BlackSky Technology makes money by offering a unique combination of satellite imagery and artificial intelligence-powered analysis. Think of it like having your own private eye in space, but instead of just taking pictures, it also uses smart computer programs to quickly understand what's happening on the ground.

Their main products and services include:

  • Space-based intelligence & AI services: This is where they provide customers with on-demand, high-frequency satellite images and use their special software, called Spectra AI, to automatically analyze these images. This helps customers understand events as they unfold, like tracking economic activity or monitoring critical locations.
  • Mission solutions: These are tailored projects where BlackSky helps customers build or integrate specific space-based intelligence capabilities for their unique needs.
  • Technology programs: This involves developing new technologies and capabilities, often through contracts with government agencies.

Their revenue primarily comes from these services, often through multi-year contracts and subscriptions. For the full year 2025, BlackSky reported total revenue of $106.6 million. In the first quarter of 2026, their total revenue was $20.8 million. The company is seeing strong demand for its Gen-3 space-based intelligence and AI services, especially from international customers, which is driving growth in their contract backlog.

The Metrics That Matter Most

For BlackSky, a company that's growing its satellite network and expanding its AI-driven services, here are the most important numbers to watch:

  1. Revenue: This metric simply tells you the total amount of money the company brings in from selling its services. For BlackSky, it's crucial because they are in a growth phase, securing new contracts and expanding their satellite constellation. A growing revenue number shows that more customers are buying their intelligence services and that their business is expanding. BlackSky's total revenue for the full year 2025 was $106.6 million. For the first quarter of 2026, it was $20.8 million.

  2. Gross Margin: This number shows how much money BlackSky keeps from each dollar of revenue after paying for the direct costs of providing its services (like operating satellites and processing data). A high gross margin indicates that their core services are profitable and that they can deliver their intelligence efficiently. As BlackSky emphasizes high-margin space-based intelligence and AI services, this metric is a key indicator of the profitability of their core offerings. For the full year 2025, BlackSky's gross margin was approximately 66.88%. In the first quarter of 2026, their gross margin was 64.71%.

  3. Capital Expenditures (CapEx): This refers to the money BlackSky spends on buying, maintaining, or improving its physical assets, especially its satellites. Since building and launching satellites is a major part of their business, CapEx is a vital sign of their investment in future growth and their ability to expand their constellation and capabilities. For the full year 2025, BlackSky's capital expenditures totaled $46.6 million. In the first quarter of 2026, their capital expenditures were $15.8 million.

  4. Operating Cash Flow: This metric measures the cash generated by BlackSky's regular business operations, before accounting for investments or financing activities. It tells you if the company's core business is generating enough cash to cover its day-to-day expenses. For a growing company like BlackSky, positive and increasing operating cash flow would signal that their business model is becoming self-sustaining. For the full year 2025, BlackSky had an operating cash flow of -$28.3 million. For the first quarter of 2026, their operating cash flow was -$6.22 million.

  5. Net Income: This is the "bottom line" number, showing the company's total profit or loss after all expenses, including taxes and interest, have been paid. While BlackSky is currently investing heavily for growth and has reported losses, tracking net income helps understand their overall financial health and their path towards profitability. For the full year 2025, BlackSky reported a net loss of $70.3 million. In the first quarter of 2026, the company reported a net loss of $29.7 million.

How to Value This Company

The most relevant valuation metric for BlackSky Technology is the Price-to-Sales (P/Sales) ratio.

Here's why: BlackSky is a relatively young company that is still heavily investing in its technology and satellite infrastructure to grow its business. Because of these investments, they are not consistently profitable yet, meaning their net income is often negative. When a company isn't consistently making a profit, traditional valuation metrics like the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, which relies on positive earnings, aren't very useful.

The P/Sales ratio helps us understand how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of the company's sales. It's calculated by dividing the company's total market value (the price of all its shares combined) by its total revenue over the last year.

How to use it simply: If BlackSky has a P/Sales ratio of, say, 8, it means investors are paying $8 for every $1 of revenue the company generates. You would compare this ratio to similar companies in the satellite or geospatial intelligence industry that are also in a growth phase. If BlackSky's P/Sales ratio is significantly higher than its peers, it might suggest the stock is expensive, implying investors expect very high future growth. If it's lower, it might suggest it's cheap, or that investors are less optimistic about its future.

To calculate BlackSky's P/Sales ratio:

  • As of July 22, 2026, BlackSky's stock price was $22.49.
  • The company had approximately 37.11 million shares outstanding.
  • This gives BlackSky a market capitalization of about $834.58 million (37.11 million shares * $22.49/share).
  • Using their full year 2025 revenue of $106.6 million, BlackSky's P/Sales ratio is approximately 7.83x ($834.58 million / $106.6 million).

You would then compare this 7.83x P/Sales ratio to other companies in the space-based intelligence or AI services sector to determine if BlackSky's stock is considered cheap or expensive relative to its industry.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI. stockpicker.tech is not responsible for any mistakes, inaccuracies, or hallucinations. This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Users should always double-check the information and conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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BlackSky Technology Inc.

$17.87 -$2.95 (-14.17%)
NYSE · 30 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC
Previous Close
$19.20
Day Range
$17.03$18.94
Year Range
$12.41$52.88
Market Cap
731.33M
AVG Volume
1.06M
Trailing/Forward PE
-9.8/-
PEG ratio
0.3
Dividend Yield
-
Next Earnings Date
2026-11-05
Primary Exchange
New York Stock ExchangeUS
Revenue (USD) · TTM
050M100M150M24 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
BKSY Revenue (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodRevenue (USD)
26 Q2108.92M
26 Q197.81M
25 Q4106.58M
25 Q3101.73M
25 Q2104.66M
25 Q1107.4M
24 Q4102.09M
24 Q3107.23M
24 Q2105.94M
24 Q1100.33M
Net Income (USD) · TTM
-100M-75M-50M-25M024 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
BKSY Net Income (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodNet Income (USD)
26 Q2-66.7M
26 Q1-87.11M
25 Q4-70.26M
25 Q3-88.81M
25 Q2-86.06M
25 Q1-54.22M
24 Q4-57.22M
24 Q3-41.59M
24 Q2-28.32M
24 Q1-52.35M
Operating Income (USD) · TTM
-60M-40M-20M024 Q124 Q224 Q324 Q425 Q125 Q225 Q325 Q426 Q126 Q2
BKSY Operating Income (USD) by quarter, trailing twelve months
PeriodOperating Income (USD)
26 Q2-47.32M
26 Q1-53.46M
25 Q4-46.9M
25 Q3-48.83M
25 Q2-45.23M
25 Q1-43.01M
24 Q4-44.29M
24 Q3-42.85M
24 Q2-44.13M
24 Q1-52.33M
EBITDA · TTM
Cash Flows · TTM
EPS · TTM
Expenses · TTM
Cash & Debt · TTM
Debt ratios · TTM
Margins · TTM
Return on Capital · TTM
Shares Outstanding · TTM
Dividends (USD) · TTM
Employee Count
Book Value Per Share · TTM
Total Assets · TTM
PE Ratio
Free Cash Flow Yield
Price to Sales
EV/EBITDA
Price/Operating Cashflow
Price to Book

Earnings: BKSY

Estimate against actual revenue and earnings per share, the beat and miss record of recent reports, and how the price moved around each one. Next report: 5 Nov 2026.

BlackSky Technology Inc.
BKSY
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